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Premier League Picks
29-11-2015, 10:10 AM
Post: #61
RE: Premier League Picks
Tottenham v Chelsea 2-0, 15/1
West Ham v West Brom 1-1, 13/2
Liverpool v Swansea 1-0, 7/1
Norwich v Arsenal 0-2, 9/1
----------------------------
Inverness CT v Celtic 0-1, 7/1
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29-11-2015, 07:10 PM
Post: #62
RE: Premier League Picks
Tottenham v Chelsea 2-0, 15/1
West Ham v West Brom 1-1, 13/2
Liverpool v Swansea 1-0, 7/1

Norwich v Arsenal 0-2, 9/1
----------------------------
Inverness CT v Celtic 0-1, 7/1
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05-12-2015, 09:59 AM
Post: #63
RE: Premier League Picks
Stoke v Man City 0-1, 13/2
Arsenal v Sunderland 3-0, 7/1
Man Utd v West Ham 1-1, 8/1
Southampton v Aston Villa 2-0, 11/2
Swansea v Leicester 1-2, 9/1
Watford v Norwich 1-0, 13/2
West Brom v Tottenham 0-1, 11/2
Chelsea v Bournemouth 2-1, 8/1
---------------------------------
Dundee v Aberdeen 1-1, 11/2
Celtic v Hamilton 2-0, 11/2
Hearts v Inverness CT 2-0, 7/1
Kilmarnock v Dundee Utd 1-0, 10/1
Partick Thistle v Motherwell 0-0, 15/2
Ross County v St Johnstone 1-1, 11/2
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06-12-2015, 10:04 AM
Post: #64
RE: Premier League Picks
Newcastle v Liverpool 1-2, 15/2
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07-12-2015, 10:05 AM
Post: #65
RE: Premier League Picks
Everton v Crystal Palace 1-1, 6/1
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07-12-2015, 10:52 PM
Post: #66
RE: Premier League Picks
Everton v Crystal Palace 1-1, 6/1
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12-12-2015, 10:33 AM
Post: #67
RE: Premier League Picks
Norwich v Everton 1-2, 17/2
Crystal Palace v Southampton 1-1, 11/2
Man City v Swansea 3-0, 15/2
Sunderland v Watford 1-1, 5/1
West Ham v Stoke 1-0, 13/2
Bournemouth v Man Utd 0-2, 10/1
-----------------------------------
Aberdeen v Hearts 1-1, 11/2
Dundee Utd v Partick Thistle 0-0, 9/1
Hamilton v Ross County 1-1, 5/1
Inverness CT v Kilmarnock 1-1, 6/1
Motherwell v Dundee 1-1, 11/2
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13-12-2015, 07:57 AM
Post: #68
RE: Premier League Picks
Aston Villa v Arsenal 0-2, 13/2
Liverpool v West Brom 1-0, 9/2
Tottenham v Newcastle 3-0 17/2
-------------------------------
St Johnstone v Celtic 1-2, 15/2
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13-12-2015, 06:59 PM
Post: #69
RE: Premier League Picks
Aston Villa v Arsenal 0-2, 13/2
Liverpool v West Brom 1-0, 9/2
Tottenham v Newcastle 3-0 17/2
-------------------------------
St Johnstone v Celtic 1-2, 15/2
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14-12-2015, 10:21 AM
Post: #70
RE: Premier League Picks
Leicester v Chelsea 3-1, 25/1
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19-12-2015, 06:55 AM
Post: #71
RE: Premier League Picks
Chelsea v Sunderland 1-1, 11/1
Everton v Leicester 2-2, 13/1
Man Utd v Norwich 1-0, 6/1
Southampton v Tottenham 0-1, 9/1
Stoke v Crystal Palace 0-0, 17/2
West Brom v Bournemouth 1-1, 6/1
Newcastle v Aston Villa 1-1, 13/2
--------------------------------
Celtic v Motherwell 2-0, 13/2
Dundee v Hamilton 1-1, 6/1
Inverness CT v Dundee Utd 1-0, 15/2
Kilmarnock v Aberdeen 0-2, 8/1
Partick Thistle v Ross County 1-1, 6/1
St Johnstone v Hearts 1-1, 13/2
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20-12-2015, 10:12 AM
Post: #72
RE: Premier League Picks
Chelsea v Sunderland 1-1, 11/1
Everton v Leicester 2-2, 13/1
Man Utd v Norwich 1-0, 6/1
Southampton v Tottenham 0-1, 9/1
Stoke v Crystal Palace 0-0, 17/2
West Brom v Bournemouth 1-1, 6/1
Newcastle v Aston Villa 1-1, 13/2
--------------------------------
Celtic v Motherwell 2-0, 13/2
Dundee v Hamilton 1-1, 6/1
Inverness CT v Dundee Utd 1-0, 15/2
Kilmarnock v Aberdeen 0-2, 8/1
Partick Thistle v Ross County 1-1, 6/1
St Johnstone v Hearts 1-1, 13/2
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20-12-2015, 10:17 AM
Post: #73
RE: Premier League Picks
Watford v Liverpool 1-0, 10/1
Swansea v West Ham 1-2, 12/1
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21-12-2015, 01:03 PM
Post: #74
RE: Premier League Picks
Arsenal v Man City 1 - 1, 6/1
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26-12-2015, 11:12 AM
Post: #75
RE: Premier League Picks
OK - here's the thing.
Up until now I've been using the poisson distribution (both normal & bivariate) with two different methods of determining goal expectancy and not obtaining very satisfactory results. In fact, Home goals are poorly represented by poisson which leads me to doubt some of the various claims made for it's effectiveness.
Anyway, from here on I'm trying a different approach - it may not be much better but there's a need for improvement, so I'll see how it goes.
----------------------------------------------------
Stoke v Man Utd 0-1, 4/1
Aston Villa v West Ham 0-0, 7/1
Bournemouth v Crystal Palace 2-2, 14/1
Chelsea v Watford 2-2, 16/1
Liverpool v Leicester 1-0, 13/2
Man City v Sunderland 1-1, 14/1
Swansea v West Brom 3-0, 16/1
Tottenham v Norwich 0-0, 14/1
Newcastle v Everton 1-1, 6/1
Southampton v Arsenal 1-3, 16/1
--------------------------------------
Aberdeen v Inverness CT 0-0, 8/1
Dundee Utd v Motherwell 3-1,16/1
Hamilton v Kilmarnock 2-0, 15/2
Partick Thistle v St Johnstone 1-1, 5/1
Ross County v Dundee 0-0, 9/1
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27-12-2015, 10:32 AM
Post: #76
RE: Premier League Picks
Stoke v Man Utd 0-1, 4/1
Aston Villa v West Ham 0-0, 7/1
Bournemouth v Crystal Palace 2-2, 14/1
Chelsea v Watford 2-2, 16/1
Liverpool v Leicester 1-0, 13/2

Man City v Sunderland 1-1, 14/1
Swansea v West Brom 3-0, 16/1
Tottenham v Norwich 0-0, 14/1
Newcastle v Everton 1-1, 6/1
Southampton v Arsenal 1-3, 16/1
--------------------------------------
Aberdeen v Inverness CT 0-0, 8/1
Dundee Utd v Motherwell 3-1,16/1
Hamilton v Kilmarnock 2-0, 15/2
Partick Thistle v St Johnstone 1-1, 5/1
Ross County v Dundee 0-0, 9/1
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27-12-2015, 10:33 AM
Post: #77
RE: Premier League Picks
Hearts v Celtic 2-2, 19/1
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27-12-2015, 05:00 PM
Post: #78
RE: Premier League Picks
Hearts v Celtic 2-2, 19/1
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28-12-2015, 08:48 AM
Post: #79
RE: Premier League Picks
Crystal Palace v Swansea 0-1, 17/2
Everton v Stoke 2-1, 15/2
Norwich v Aston Villa 2-0, 17/2
Watford v Tottenham 3-0, 40/1
West Brom v Newcastle 1-1, 11/2
Arsenal v Bournemouth 3-1, 11/1
Man Utd v Chelsea 2-2, 16/1
West Ham v Southampton 3-0, 35/1
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28-12-2015, 08:24 PM
Post: #80
RE: Premier League Picks
Crystal Palace v Swansea 0-1, 17/2
Everton v Stoke 2-1, 15/2
Norwich v Aston Villa 2-0, 17/2
Watford v Tottenham 3-0, 40/1
West Brom v Newcastle 1-1, 11/2
Arsenal v Bournemouth 3-1, 11/1
Man Utd v Chelsea 2-2, 16/1
West Ham v Southampton 3-0, 35/1
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29-12-2015, 09:16 AM
Post: #81
RE: Premier League Picks
Leicester v Man City 1-2, 17/2
--------------------------------------------
Ross County v Kilmarnock 2-2, 18/1
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30-12-2015, 11:03 AM
Post: #82
RE: Premier League Picks
Sunderland v Liverpool 0-1, 7/1
----------------------------------------------
Hamilton v Inverness CT 0-0, 10/1
Aberdeen v Partick Thistle 2-2, 24/1
Dundee v Celtic 0-1, 9/1
Hearts v Dundee Utd 3-0, 16/1
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30-12-2015, 10:45 PM
Post: #83
RE: Premier League Picks
Sunderland v Liverpool 0-1, 7/1
----------------------------------------------
Hamilton v Inverness CT 0-0, 10/1
Aberdeen v Partick Thistle 2-2, 24/1
Dundee v Celtic 0-1, 9/1
Hearts v Dundee Utd 3-0, 16/1
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01-01-2016, 10:42 AM
Post: #84
RE: Premier League Picks
West Ham v Liverpool 0-1, 7/1
Arsenal v Newcastle 1-1, 12/1
Leicester v Bournemouth 1-1, 7/1
Man Utd v Swansea 0-0, 9/1
Norwich v Southampton 0-1, 9/1
Sunderland v Aston Villa 1-2, 12/1
West Brom v Stoke 2-1, 12/1
Watford v Man City 1-3, 15/1
----------------------------------------
Dundee v Dundee Utd 1-2, 11/1
Celtic v Partick Thistle 2-0, 7/1
Inverness CT v Ross County 1-2, 10/1
Kilmarnock v Hearts 0-2, 8/1
Motherwell v Hamilton 0-0, 9/1
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02-01-2016, 08:34 PM
Post: #85
RE: Premier League Picks
West Ham v Liverpool 0-1, 7/1
Arsenal v Newcastle 1-1, 12/1
Leicester v Bournemouth 1-1, 7/1
Man Utd v Swansea 0-0, 9/1
Norwich v Southampton 0-1, 9/1
Sunderland v Aston Villa 1-2, 12/1
West Brom v Stoke 2-1, 12/1
Watford v Man City 1-3, 15/1
----------------------------------------
Dundee v Dundee Utd 1-2, 11/1
Celtic v Partick Thistle 2-0, 7/1
Inverness CT v Ross County 1-2, 10/1
Kilmarnock v Hearts 0-2, 8/1
Motherwell v Hamilton 0-0, 9/1
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03-01-2016, 10:36 AM
Post: #86
RE: Premier League Picks
Crystal Palace v Chelsea 2-2, 20/1
Everton v Tottenham 3-0, 40/1
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03-01-2016, 10:39 AM
Post: #87
RE: Premier League Picks
Good luck mate

.Millwall - We Fear No Foe
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05-01-2016, 08:44 AM (This post was last modified: 05-01-2016 01:18 PM by Kino.)
Post: #88
RE: Premier League Picks
Stoke v Liverpool 1-1, 6/1

Ignore this!

Just realised it's a Capital One Cup - if a draw it goes to penalty shoot-outs.
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12-01-2016, 09:33 AM
Post: #89
RE: Premier League Picks
Aston Villa v Crystal Palace 1-1, 6/1
Bournemouth v West Ham 1-3, 43/1
Newcastle v Man Utd 2-2, 22/1
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13-01-2016, 10:48 AM
Post: #90
RE: Premier League Picks
Aston Villa v Crystal Palace 1-1, 6/1
Bournemouth v West Ham 1-3, 43/1
Newcastle v Man Utd 2-2, 22/1
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