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Home & Away Champs 18-19
31-10-2018, 10:21 AM (This post was last modified: 01-12-2018 11:41 AM by Kino.)
Post: #1
Home & Away Champs 18-19
OK - the following are predictions based on goal expectancy/poisson distribution (with a slight tweak).

This should be viewed as a trial - so we'll see how it goes.

I'm trying to post an image of a spreadsheet. It should be available as an attachment.

Edit Note: Using Firefox browser left-clicking on the attachment opens a new tab in which the image can be clearly seen.
Right-clicking and using Save As only downloads the thumbprint which is not clear.


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04-11-2018, 08:38 PM (This post was last modified: 04-11-2018 08:39 PM by Kino.)
Post: #2
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
A small profit of £8.20 to £5 stakes on the Home\Away selections.
Could maybe have included the Draw selections but I don't know how reliable they are - will keep an eye on these.


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07-11-2018, 10:50 AM
Post: #3
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
I will (speculatively) add in a Draw bet.


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11-11-2018, 10:42 AM
Post: #4
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
A loss of 13.89 - better luck next time?


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21-11-2018, 10:45 AM
Post: #5
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
We shall see...


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26-11-2018, 11:23 AM
Post: #6
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
(21-11-2018 10:45 AM)Kino Wrote:  We shall see...
Alas, a loss of about £11


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26-11-2018, 01:31 PM
Post: #7
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
Now with a complete change of strategy I'm going with those I reckon will be score draws.


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29-11-2018, 08:59 AM
Post: #8
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
(26-11-2018 01:31 PM)Kino Wrote:  Now with a complete change of strategy I'm going with those I reckon will be score draws.

Not too bad - a profit of £13.74


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29-11-2018, 09:52 AM (This post was last modified: 01-12-2018 11:41 AM by Kino.)
Post: #9
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
So, let's see what we can do...

Edit Note: Using Firefox browser left-clicking on the attachment opens a new tab in which the image can be clearly seen.
Right-clicking and using Save As only downloads the thumbprint which is not clear.


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30-11-2018, 10:26 AM
Post: #10
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
Just realised these images are not too clear.
It's not easy to post tables but for now I'm looking at score draws for

Birmingham v Preston
Bolton v Wigan
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03-12-2018, 09:41 AM
Post: #11
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
(30-11-2018 10:26 AM)Kino Wrote:  Just realised these images are not too clear.
It's not easy to post tables but for now I'm looking at score draws for

Birmingham v Preston
Bolton v Wigan

Result: +£16.37


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04-12-2018, 12:12 PM
Post: #12
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
Let's see...


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07-12-2018, 10:22 AM
Post: #13
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
Thought I'd add a bit more detail. Remember this is still a trial.


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08-12-2018, 09:03 PM (This post was last modified: 08-12-2018 09:03 PM by Kino.)
Post: #14
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
(07-12-2018 10:22 AM)Kino Wrote:  Thought I'd add a bit more detail. Remember this is still a trial.
Not so good on the Draws but over/under 2.5 looks interesting ~80%


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09-12-2018, 02:03 PM
Post: #15
RE: Home & Away Champs 18-19
(08-12-2018 09:03 PM)Kino Wrote:  Not so good on the Draws but over/under 2.5 looks interesting ~80%

So let's see how we get on...


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